So today I could easily write
about how Carlos Zambrano has further proved he is the Cubs most
valuable player, or how the Cubs have an 8-game winning streak and
a 24-games-with-a-lead streak, but today I'm going to write about
the big subject that's looming on the horizon for Cubs fans to
discuss soon and that's the bullpen.
Now right now you're thinking
I'm going to bring up Carlos Marmol's bad 9th
inning, and I will, but that's just the
small picture. As I mentioned in an
earlier post, there is a bigger issue and that's wear and
tear.
You saw it with
Marmol. After pitching through the
8th inning last night without causing himself problems,
Lou Pinella sent the Cubs' set-up man out again in the
9th. I have a problem with
that. I have a problem with one of the
Cubs' top assets being asked to go two innings with a 4-run
lead. Was Lou really that
concerned? Could Lieber or Cotts not gone
one more inning? Did Kerry really need his
second day of rest in three days that he couldn't pitch the
9th? You know you're going to
count on Marmol in the 4+ remaining months of the season and he's
young and already subject to wear and tear considering the
intensity he already pitches with. The bad
news, Cub fans, is that this isn't just about Lou, there's a bigger
question here.
Let's take a look at the
starting rotation. Cubs' starters in the
last rotation (so every game up to but not including Zambrano's
last outing) have not gone beyond 5.2 innings.
Cubs' relievers in those five games have pitched 23
innings-that's more innings than the starters have pitched in that
time, Cub fans.
Let's face it, that bullpen which has been stellar this
season, particularly in May, is getting over-worked. I'm not trying to short-change the Cubs' recent
successes, but there's a lot of baseball to
play.
To Lou's credit, no
one-except Marmol-has really been overused at this point, but when
your bullpen pitches 4 innings a day, someone is going to get
overused and that's not including any flexibility that might be
necessary if someone goes out and has a bad
outing.
Perhaps the real culprits
here are the starters. The reason the bullpen is being used so much
is because these guys struggle to go 7 innings and they throw a ton
of pitches doing it. When Zambrano threw
130 pitches against the Dodgers, Lou had to take him out yesterday
before he reached 100-that was before the 6th
inning. The Cubs' current rotation
averages just under 6 innings-per-start, with Zambrano at the top
with 6.6 IPS.
Not only that, but anyone who watches the Cubs knows how many
pitches these guys throw per inning and how many full counts they
pitch. It's true most of these guys are
strikeout pitchers and naturally work long at-bats, but they've
really struggled with control lately. The relievers have been there
to bail them out, but how long can it last, Chicago?
The temporary solution?
Let's get those bats going. The quickest way to take some
pressure off your pitching is to start blowing out opponents,
something the Cubs haven't done in awhile. One person who has hit a
mini slump is Derrek Lee. I don't know if anyone's noticed,
but he's missed a lot of RISP opportunities and grounded into one
too many double plays. His patience and
good eye at the plate really seem to have disappeared his last
couple of starts. If he and Soto pick it
back up and combine with the recently dangerous trio of Ramirez,
Fukudome and Edmonds, it's possible. With
the unreliable Jason Marquis on the mound and an equally unreliable
and sometimes wild opposing pitcher in Wilfredo Ledezma, it's going
to be a bat race if both teams bring the
offense.


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